September 10, 2007

Portfolio Leveraging

The concept of borrowing funds through mutual fund (MF) ‘portfolio leveraging’ has recently started gaining ground. An increasing number of high net worth individuals (HNIs) having size able holdings in mutual funds, are borrowing money through portfolio leveraging.
Investors prefer non banking financial firms (NBFCs) over banks to raise money since banks cannot lend more than Rs 20 lakh with MF portfolio as collateral. NBFCs sanction up to 70% of the portfolio as a loan which investor again invests more often buying out MF units and not stocks! It is mostly risk averse investors who invest in mutual funds. It is strange to see why such a conservative investor wants to take an additional risk by leveraging his portfolio.
For portfolio leveraging to be attractive, the rate of return an investor is making through MFs or stocks in which he has invested borrowed funds should cover smoothly the cost of leveraging. For instance, if the investor is borrowing money at 15%, he should at least be making 20-22% plus on those borrowed funds!!
When market stages near one sided rally, portfolio leveraging seems to be the easiest way to maximize returns. With present uncertainty in sustenance of current government, turmoil in the global equity markets and when oil & energy prices set to shoot up, making money through leveraged positions didn’t remain a one-way street………………..

August 08, 2007

Knowing if fund is thrifty or wasteful.......

Investor needs to know how fairly the fund manager is compensated. A fund manager’s pay depends primarily upon tow factors:

1) the amount of assets under management and
2) performance of fund as measured against an investment benchmark, say BSE-200, sensex etc.
How much performance counts or which benchmark applies is not always clear, however public has a right to know things beforehand. While investor’s money is at stake, managers may get bonuses for not loosing as much as the indexes!!
Know if fund manager is investing in the fund he manages? Presumably, with his own money on the line, a manager has greater incentive to do well………………..

August 06, 2007

Thumb Rule 110

There is a very popular thumb rule called Rule of 110. The rule suggests that one should deduct one’s age from 110 to arrive at the percentage of exposure one should have to equities. In other words, a 30-year old can have an 80% exposure to equities; whereas an 80-year old can have 30% exposure to equities.

August 03, 2007

What you don't know can hurt you!!

At the very least, shareholders should be able to find out which stocks their funds own. The mutual fund industry however opposes more frequent disclosure, saying illogically that information about a fund’s holding will somehow reveal what the fund will buy in the future. And thereby funds may allow speculators to buy stocks earlier and drive up the price that the fund pays!!
Shareholders ate thus left to manage their portfolios blind. You might think you are well diversified across four different funds, but you may not realize that months ago, all were loaded up with same securities. Or u may know at the end of the story that u were really put at high risk more than u ever expected because ur fund is packed with the shares of firms growing feeble.

August 02, 2007

Sharp ratio & Standard deviation


The downside risk of investing is a reality that must be given due importance. As is widely accepted, high returns are generally associated with a high degree of volatility. For this purpose the performance of a portfolio must be viewed with respect to the risk assumed. It is here that the Sharpe Ratio comes in handy. For the Sharpe Ratio assesses the return generated by a portfolio, per unit of risk undertaken. Risk in this case is taken to be the portfolio's standard deviation. Standard deviation is used as it is indicative of the volatility in the fund. A lower standard deviation implies little fluctuation in the returns.
Mathematically, the Sharpe Ratio is the difference between the portfolio's returns over and above the return earned on a risk free investment divided by the standard deviation of the portfolio. A higher Sharpe Ratio is therefore better as it represents a higher return generated per unit of risk.Take for instance two portfolios A and B (see box). At first glance A has definitely performed better but what remains to be seen is the amount of risk assumed for that 15 per cent return. We have considered the bank deposit rate as the risk free rate of return at 3.5 per cent. The resultant Sharpe Ratio for portfolio A at 1.64 and that for B at 1.87 means that portfolio B is capable of delivering additional returns vis a vis portfolio A for any additional risk that may be assumed.



This process of comparing the risk adjusted returns of two portfolios, gives us an insight into the efficiency of fund management as well. Because a portfolio could deliver superlative returns by assuming significant risk, but a superior portfolio is arrived at when the manager is able to rationalize the amount of risk taken to deliver high returns.However, while looking at Sharpe ratio, please keep in mind that in isolation it has no meaning. It can only be used as a comparative tool. Thus the Sharpe ratio should be used to compare the performance of a number of portfolios or funds. In case of mutual funds, one can compare the Sharpe ratio of a fund with that of its benchmark index. If the only information available is that the Sharpe ratio of a fund is 1.2, no meaningful inference can be drawn as nothing is known about the peer group performance. Another aspect to look out for is that the ratio can be misleading at times. For example, a low standard deviation can unduly influence results. A fund with low returns but with a relatively mild standard deviation can end up with a high Sharpe ratio. Such a fund will have a very tranquil portfolio and not generate high returns.


May 28, 2007

Big is bountiful in MF world

Of course size does matter. Mutual fund schemes with bigger sizes or higher assets under management have posted better returns as compared to those that are smaller in size. Bigger MFs are in a position to pay higher broking fees if they choose and thus keep on becoming larger. With size, these funds are also in a position to hire the best talent in the industry and thus these funds perform well in a longer run.
Smaller funds tend to take higher risks as compared to large funds as these funds are desperate for returns and want to make it to top 10 list in terms of returns. The top 10 holdings of these funds are very concentrated making these funds more risky than those with higher assets. Returns of small funds tend to be varying drastically from +26% to -18%.
To last in the current market smaller funds always need to bring in innovative ideas.
Getting a unique proposition is very important especially for these funds. But as smaller funds do not pay commission to the distributors and prefer to sell funds directly it is lot easier to break even for them.
Common perception is that there should not be any correlation between size and performance. Statistic data suggests that equity diversified schemes that are in the range of
Rs. 1 crore and Rs. 200 crore have an average annual return of 4.5% as compared to schemes that are bigger than 1600 crore, which have an average return of 11%. On a statistical basis there is a positive correlation of 75% between size and performance. Higher the size better the performance.





May 17, 2007

overweighing in high risk, non-diversified funds

Casino effect: winning big loosing big
Very large percentage of risk does not justify the potential reward. The risk is highly disproportionate to overall profit potential.
High risk, non-diversified stock fund category includes domestic and foreign small-cap growth, emerging markets and sector funds. The bond fund category includes emerging markets and certain high-yield funds bearing high risk.These fund types can be appropriate in many portfolios, provided an investor adheres to the principles of effective diversification.
Investor should have different funds with distinct risk/reward objectives within a variety of fund types and reduction in overall risk.
There needs to be percentage limit over acceptance level of high risk, non-diversified funds in investor’s portfolio. Most recommend between 5-30% of total portfolio assets, depending upon choices of aggressive, moderate or conservative risk tolerances.
Letting these high-risk, non-diversified mutual funds not to be a core part of your portfolio but just to be a suitable portfolio supplement is a key.